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Stop Worrying! Asset Prices Will Soar. Here's Why...By
Monday, April 16, 2012
We are in the midst of what I call the Bernanke Asset Bubble.
In the end, it could turn out to be the greatest bubble in American history. I expect nearly all assets will soar to prices currently unimaginable today.
This is based on a very simple idea... If you understand this idea (and believe it down in your toes), you could make an absolute fortune, simply by doing nothing but staying on board during this bubble.
Also, if you understand this idea, you don't have to worry about what is going to happen or what the Fed is going to do. You'll know.
Here's the simple idea, fully explained...
Ben Bernanke is the Chairman of the Federal Reserve. He has a dual mandate... His goals are to deliver 1) price stability (no inflation) and 2) full employment.
In addition to these two goals, Ben Bernanke is known as a "student" of the Great Depression. The main lesson he learned from the Depression is that you shouldn't raise interest rates too quickly, because you might not be out of the woods yet.
Given his mandate and his study of the Great Depression, Ben Bernanke will keep interest rates artificially low for longer than anyone can imagine. And that, in turn will create an asset bubble... in just about everything.
In practice, Bernanke's main lever to make adjustments is short-term interest rates. If inflation heats up, Bernanke raises short-term interest rates until inflation cools. And if unemployment is high, Bernanke cuts interest rates until employment improves.
Right now, inflation is not an issue... So Bernanke has no need to raise interest rates. And right now, unemployment IS an issue, so Bernanke wants to keep interest rates low.
The government expects this situation to remain through 2014... The Fed currently predicts inflation will be below 2% in 2014. And it predicts unemployment will still be above 7% in 2014.
The Fed is staying on script... Last week, Bernanke's No. 2 in charge, Janet Yellen, said, "I consider a highly accommodative policy stance [low interest rates] to be appropriate in present circumstances."
The world's most influential bond managers are betting the Federal Reserve will do even more to boost the economy and keep interest rates low. On Friday, Bloomberg wrote:
As long as unemployment remains high... and as long as inflation is subdued... the Fed will continue to "juice" the economy.
The "juicing" won't stop once the economy appears to be back on its feet, either... Bernanke's worries about the Great Depression will keep him from raising interest rates until it's too late... which will inflate the Bernanke Asset Bubble to its greatest heights.
So please, for now, stop worrying so much.
We are only partway through the Bernanke Asset Bubble. It should last another two years... at the very least. And asset prices have the potential to soar in this environment.
Stop worrying. You've got a "free pass" to make money in your investments through 2014...
Take it.
Good investing,
Steve
Further Reading:
"I recommend stocking up on companies whose business model is to capitalize on interest-rate manipulations by the Federal Reserve," Steve writes. With the Fed keeping interest rates low through 2014, he found an investment offering a safe 60% gain in two years. "Even better, the shares are cheap." Read more here.
Steve also shared another company that will reward shareholders in this zero-percent world. "We have an opportunity to buy $1 for just $0.85," he writes. You'll collect fat, double-digit dividends along the way. Get the full story here.
Market NotesNEW HIGHS OF NOTE LAST WEEK
Intel (INTC)... semiconductors
Altria (MO)... cigarettes
Lorillard (LO)... cigarettes
Las Vegas Sands (LVS)... casinos
Starbucks (SBUX)... coffee
Home Depot (HD)... home improvement
Sherwin-Williams (SHW)... home improvement
Visa (V)... credit cards
MasterCard (MA)... credit cards
Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG)... fast food
NEW LOWS OF NOTE LAST WEEK
Exelon (EXC)... utilities
Kinross Gold (KGC)... gold miner
Iamgold (IAG)... gold miner
Jaguar Mining (JAG)... gold miner
Hecla Mining (HL)... silver miner
Pandora Media (P)... overhyped IPO
Chesapeake Energy (CHK)... natural gas
Peabody Energy (BTU)... coal
Patriot Coal (PCX)... coal Arch Coal (ACI)... coal Alpha Natural Resources (ANR)... coal Best Buy (BBY)... electronics
RadioShack (RSH)... electronics
Baker Hughes (BHI)... oil services
DeVry (DV)... secondary education
Banco Santander (STD)... huge Spanish bank |
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